Special Dividends Like Never Before
With the potential for less favorable tax treatment ahead, companies have been announcing "special dividends" like never before. Many of the companies are specifically citing "excess capital", so I take these payments as a sign of confidence as well. With many managers being measured these days on metrics like return on capital, it behooves the executives to lower the denominator by returning cash. My guess is that this money will end up being reinvested to a great degree. This table isn't meant to be a complete recitation of the many recent declarations, but it should give us a flavor: I highlighted in dark green the dividends that exceed 10% of the market value of the company and in light green those between 5% and 10%. As you can see, there are several substantial payments. While the value of the stock drops immediately to reflect the dividend payment, to the extent this is really just extra cash and to the extent investors weren't incorporating it into their valuation (some do, many do not), shareholders could actually benefit as the stock ultimately recovers the drop from going ex-dividend. This begs the question: Who's next?... Read more